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Pediatric Pulmonology

Wiley

Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match Pediatric Pulmonology's content profile, based on 14 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.08% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Determinants of Clinical Severity in Children with Sickle Cell Disease and Confirmed Asthma

BAFUNYEMBAKA, G.; Nacher, M.; Maniassom, C.; Houdouin, V.; Nathan, N.; Elenga, N.

2026-02-17 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.02.13.26346274
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BackgroundAsthma is a frequent comorbidity in children with sickle cell disease and has been associated with an increased risk of acute complications, particularly vaso-occlusive crises and acute chest syndrome. However, determinants of clinical severity among children with sickle cell disease and confirmed asthma remain poorly characterized, especially in tropical settings. This study aimed to identify factors associated with clinical severity in this population. MethodsWe conducted an observational study among children with sickle cell disease followed in French Guiana. The analysis was restricted to children with confirmed asthma. Clinical severity was defined as the occurrence of at least two hospitalizations during the 12 months preceding evaluation for vaso-occlusive crises and/or acute chest syndrome. Factors associated with severity were assessed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. ResultsA total of 138 children with sickle cell disease and confirmed asthma were included, of whom 49 (35.5%) presented a severe clinical form. In multivariate analysis, no variable was independently associated with clinical severity. However, a trend toward an increased risk of severe disease was observed among children living in rural areas (adjusted OR = 1.94; 95% CI: 0.77-4.86), while a trend toward a protective effect was observed for Strongyloides stercoralis infection (adjusted OR = 0.18; 95% CI: 0.02-1.51). Allergic sensitization, although frequent (64.5%), was not associated with clinical severity after adjustment (adjusted OR = 0.66; 95% CI: 0.31-1.44). ConclusionAmong children with sickle cell disease and confirmed asthma, more than one third experience severe clinical disease. Severity does not appear to be driven by allergy but may be influenced by environmental and contextual factors specific to tropical settings. These findings support a stratified approach to sickle cell-associated asthma to identify high-risk children and prevent avoidable acute complications.

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Multimodal EHR-Based Prediction of Pediatric Asthma Exacerbations

Fan, Z.; Pan, J.; Lyu, M.; Liang, R.; Sun, C.; Wu, Y.; Fedele, D.; Fishe, J.; Xu, J.

2026-02-27 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.02.25.26347091
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Pediatric asthma exacerbations are a frequent cause of emergency department (ED) visits and hospitalizations, yet accurate risk prediction remains limited and no consensus risk scores exist. Using UF Health electronic health records (EHRs) from 2011-2023, we evaluated two computable phenotypes (i.e., CAPriCORN and COMPAC) to predict exacerbations over 6-, 12-, and 24-month horizons. Exacerbations were defined using a validated composite of diagnosis codes from ED, inpatient, or outpatient encounters combined with systemic corticosteroids prescriptions. Several commonly used machine learning (ML) models were trained with stratified five-fold cross-validation, Bayesian hyperparameter optimization, and Youdens J thresholding. XGBoost achieved the best performance, with SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) highlighting note-derived symptom terms and rescue-medication use as dominant predictors. Future work will focus on external validation and assessment of generalizability. This interpretable, text-integrated framework may support child-specific risk stratification and inform EHR-based decision support for timely pediatric asthma management.

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Low Dose Naltrexone Prescribing Practices for Children and Adolescents with Long COVID

Villatoro, C.; Yonts, A. B.; Barter, T.; Mohandas, S.; Malone, L. A.

2026-02-22 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.02.20.26346719
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BackgroundPediatric long COVID is associated with substantial symptom burden, yet evidence-based pharmacologic treatments remain limited. Low-dose naltrexone (LDN) has been proposed as a potential symptomatic therapy, but data in pediatric populations is lacking. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective analysis of pediatric and young adult patients ([≤]25 years) with a clinical diagnosis of long COVID who were prescribed LDN between July 2020 and July 2025 at three multidisciplinary pediatric long COVID programs in the United States. Deidentified clinical data were extracted from medical records. Outcomes included symptom prevalence, dosing practices, treatment continuation or discontinuation, adverse effects, and available patient-reported quality-of-life measures (PedsQL and PROMIS(R)). FindingsThe study included 62 patients (mean age, 15.6 years [range, 8-23]; 53.2% male and 46.8% female). Fatigue was nearly universal (98.4%), followed by headaches (87.1%), brain fog (74.2%), dizziness/lightheadedness (67.7%), anxiety (66.1%), and post-exertional malaise (56.5%). LDN-treated patients demonstrated a higher prevalence of neurocognitive and autonomic symptoms, compared to general clinic cohorts. Most patients (71.0%) reported no adverse effects; the most common were vivid dreams (9.7%) and insomnia (9.7%). At follow-up, 66.1% of patients remained on LDN. Medication discontinuation was attributed to perceived lack of benefit (43.8%) or side effects (25.0%). Baseline quality-of-life measures at initiation showed marked impairment: PedsQL Physical Health (M=38.0, SD=20.9) and Multidimensional Fatigue (M=35.7, SD=15.8) scores were low. PROMIS scores indicated reduced physical functioning (M=36.8, SD=8.7) and cognitive functioning (M=40.8, SD=7.6), with elevated fatigue (M=68.0, SD=10.4) and pain interference (M=58.6, SD=8.2) relative to population norms. The study was not designed to assess efficacy. InterpretationLDN was primarily prescribed to patients with prominent fatigue, neurocognitive symptoms, and autonomic dysfunction, and was generally well tolerated. These findings provide descriptive evidence of real-world prescribing practices and support the need for clinical trials to systematically evaluate LDNs efficacy in pediatric long COVID.

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Shared genetic factors between lung function and asthma by age at onset

Li, Y.; Cornejo-Sanchez, D. M.; Dong, R.; Naderi, E.; Wang, G. T.; Leal, S. M.; DeWan, A. T.

2026-02-26 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.02.20.26346655
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The genetic relationship between asthma and lung function may be dependent on age-at-onset (AAO) of asthma. We investigated whether the shared genetics between asthma AAO and lung function is dependent on AAO. Asthma cases from UK Biobank were subset according to their AAO and genetic correlation was used to obtain genetically homogeneous groups, i.e., [≤]20 (LT20), 20-40, and >40 (GT40) years. Association analysis and fine-mapping were performed to identify shared genetics between AAO groups and lung function. Mediation and quantitative trait locus (QTL) analyses were performed to identify mechanisms underlying shared genetic associations. Chr5, chr6, chr12, and chr17 each had one region that displayed a cross-phenotype replicated association with at least one AAO group and lung function. Overlapping credible sets obtained from fine-mapping were observed on chr5 and chr6. Mediation analyses demonstrated that for each region the proportion mediated through asthma on lung function was larger for asthma LT20 compared to 20-40 and GT40 suggesting that their effects on lung function were more strongly driven by this association. Tissue-specific QTL analysis revealed shared etiology on chr5 may be acting through SLC22A5 and C5orf56 which might play an important role in decreased lung function among individuals with earlier-onset asthma.

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Higher exposure to secondhand smoking among adolescents living in Lusaka compared with the rest of Zambia in 2021

Ng'ambi, W.; Mutasha, S.; Habbanti, S.; Chigere, A.; Zyambo, C.

2026-02-23 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.02.20.26346759
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BackgroundSecondhand smoke (SHS) exposure remains a major public health concern among adolescents, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. Evidence from Zambia is limited, despite increasing tobacco use and existing tobacco control policies. This study examined the prevalence and correlates of SHS exposure among adolescents in Zambia. MethodsWe analyzed data from the 2021 Zambia Global Youth Tobacco Survey (GYTS), a nationally representative, school-based survey. The sample included 6,499 adolescents aged 11-17 years enrolled in grades 7-9. The primary outcome was any SHS exposure, defined as exposure to tobacco smoke at home, school, enclosed public places, or outdoor public places. Weighted prevalence estimates were calculated, and multivariable logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with SHS exposure, adjusting for demographic, social, environmental, and socioeconomic variables. ResultsOverall, 66.0% of adolescents reported exposure to SHS. Adolescents living with a parent or guardian who smoked had nearly three times higher odds of SHS exposure (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 2.76; 95% CI: 2.12-3.62; p < 0.001). Having friends who smoked tobacco (AOR = 1.86; 95% CI: 1.52-2.30; p < 0.001) and seeing teachers smoking at school (AOR = 1.88; 95% CI: 1.40-2.56; p < 0.001) were also significant predictors. Media exposure was important: seeing people use tobacco on television (AOR = 1.88; 95% CI: 1.63-2.17; p < 0.001) and exposure to tobacco advertisements (AOR = 1.38; 95% CI: 1.14-1.67; p = 0.001) increased odds of SHS exposure. Adolescents who had smoked cigarettes had higher odds of exposure (AOR = 2.80; 95% CI: 1.70-4.67; p < 0.001), as did those intending to use tobacco in the next five years (AOR = 1.64; 95% CI: 1.21-2.24; p = 0.002). Age, sex, and grade level were not independently associated with SHS exposure. ConclusionsSHS exposure among adolescents in Zambia is widespread and is largely driven by household smoking, peer influence, school environments, and media exposure. Strengthening enforcement of smoke-free policies, promoting smoke-free homes, and addressing social and media influences are critical to reducing adolescent SHS exposure.

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Prevalence and Predictors of Cigarette Smoking Among School-Going Adolescents in Africa Based on the Global Youth Tobacco Survey: 2001-2021

Sinyangwe, J.; Ng'ambi, W.; Zyambo, C.

2026-02-22 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.02.19.26346679
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IntroductionTobacco smoking among school-going adolescents poses a major global public health challenge, contributing significantly to future disease burden. Understanding the prevalence and determinants of cigarette smoking in this group is critical for effective interventions. MethodsThis study analyzed data from the Global Youth Tobacco Surveys collected between 2001 and 2021, covering 439, 322 school-going adolescents aged 11 to 19 across 45 African countries. Descriptive statistics estimated smoking prevalence by age, sex, school grade, country, and survey year. Predictive modelling identified independent correlates of current cigarette smoking under complex two-stage cluster sampling. ResultsOverall, 23.8% (95% CI: 20.20-27.57) of adolescents reported cigarette smoking. Prevalence increased with age, rising from 9.5% at 12 years to 22.4% at 18 years. Boys smoked more than girls (14.0% vs. 7.3%). Smoking varied widely across countries, with the highest rates in Burkina Faso 48.9%, and South Africa (18.9%), and the lowest in Angola (1.5%, 95% CI: 0.86-2.13), Eritrea (2.1%). Use of other tobacco products strongly increased the prevalence of cigarette smoking for smokeless chew (35%, 95% CI: 29.6-40.3). Being taught in school about the effects of smoking showed protective effects, while ownership of tobacco-branded items increased smoking likelihood (17.8%, 95% CI: 17.52-18.13). Smoking prevalence declined over time, with lowest rates in recent years (3.5% in 2020). ConclusionCigarette smoking among school-going adolescents in Africa is a growing public health concern influenced by factors such as age, gender, country, behavior, and media exposure. Urgent, youth-focused tobacco control strategies especially targeting males and older teens are needed. Strengthening school-based education and implementing tobacco control policies among students can help reduce smoking rates. These findings offer vital evidence to inform global tobacco control efforts within the African context

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Leftover Infant Milk After Bottle Feeding: Parental Practices and Microbiological Findings

Zychlinsky, A. K.; Sedlacek, L.; Mekonnen de Oliveira, A.; Liolios, I.; Ritter, S.; Fuchs, F.; Happle, C.

2026-02-16 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.02.13.26346179
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ImportanceCurrent guidelines from the World Health Organization, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and Academy of Breastfeeding Medicine recommend discarding all milk remaining in bottles immediately after infant feeding. However, these recommendations lack supporting microbiological evidence from studies of actual infant feeding, imposing substantial financial and emotional burden on the 78 million families worldwide who bottle-feed their infants. ObjectiveTo determine (1) the financial, emotional, and time burden associated with bottle feeding and parental milk disposal practices, and (2) bacterial growth in leftover human milk and formula under different storage conditions. Design(1) Cross-sectional online survey (January 2023-February 2024) and (2) prospective microbiological cohort study. Setting(1) Online survey, (2) infants recruited in Hannover, Germany Participants(1) Survey respondents (n=1056; 99% mothers) and (2) healthy, full-term, bottle-fed infants (n=44; 17 humanmilk, 27 formula) aged 0-12 months. Main Outcomes and MeasuresParental burden scores, milk disposal frequency, and bacterial colony-forming units (CFU)/ml in milk samples before feeding, immediately after feeding, and at 4, 8, and 24 hours post-feeding at 4{degrees}C and 20{degrees}C. ResultsAmong surveyed parents, 46% discarded leftover milk daily, yet 84% reported they would keep milk longer if deemed safe. In microbiological testing, median bacterial burden in humanmilk increased from 4200 CFU/ml (range 300-350,000) pre-feeding to 24,600 CFU/ml (range 1900-29,004,400) post-feeding, but showed no significant further increase at 4 hours (p=0.82) or 8 hours (p=0.64) when stored at either 4{degrees}C or 20{degrees}C. Formula showed similar stability: median CFU/ml increased from 0 (range 0-10,700) to 11,700 (range 1900-630,000) post-feeding, with no significant change at 4 hours (p=0.91) or 8 hours (p=0.73) at either temperature. Significant bacterial growth occurred only after 24 hours at 20{degrees}C (p<0.001). Conclusions and RelevanceBacterial burden in leftover infant milk remained stable below concerning thresholds for 8 hours when refrigerated and 4-8 hours at room temperature, challenging current guidelines that mandate immediate disposal. Evidence-based guideline revision could reduce financial burden and milk waste for families around the globe without compromising infant safety. Key PointsO_ST_ABSQuestionC_ST_ABSHow long is it safe to offer leftover milk in a bottle to an infant that has previously drunk from it? FindingsThe number of bacteria in leftover human milk or formula did not significantly increase from 0 to 8h post-feeding in milk bottles sampled from 44 infants, regardless of whether the milk was kept at room temperature or refrigerated. MeaningLeftover milk may be safely reoffered beyond the limits of the current guidelines.

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Smoking Cessation Efforts for Patients with Asthma and COPD

Yellin, s.; Rauhut, M.; kutscher, E.; Anselm, E.

2026-02-22 primary care research 10.64898/2026.02.14.26345148
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Smoking Cessation Efforts for Patients with Asthma and COPD IntroductionSmoking cessation can alter the natural history of both COPD and asthma by reducing the frequency and severity of exacerbations and slowing disease progression. Accordingly, the Global Initiative for Asthma and the Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease recommend that clinicians address smoking cessation at every visit using counseling and pharmacotherapy. MethodsThe Mount Sinai Health System includes seven hospitals and more than 400 outpatient locations in the New York metropolitan area, all using a unified electronic medical record (Epic). De-identified data from calendar year 2024 were extracted for individuals identified as current smokers via the EMR smoking status tool. Patients with asthma and/or COPD were identified using ICD-10 codes. Tobacco treatment was defined as receipt of counseling or pharmacotherapy, including varenicline, bupropion, or nicotine replacement therapy. ResultsAmong 961,997 patients, 58,566 (6.1%) were identified as current cigarette smokers. Across all health system encounters, 32.6% of smokers with both asthma and COPD were given any treatment, followed by 26.7% of smokers with COPD, 13.0% of smokers with asthma, and 9.9% of cigarette smokers without these conditions. Smokers seen in pulmonary clinics were the most likely to be given treatment (17.4%), followed next by primary care (6.6%).The most commonly used treatment for all cohorts and all treatment settings was nicotine with the exception of the pulmonary clinic where varenicline predominated. DiscussionDespite higher treatment rates among smokers with asthma and COPD, only one-third of those with either condition received cessation treatment over a full year, underscoring the need for sustained system-wide quality improvement efforts.

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Evaluating mainstreaming in pediatric immunology: an optimal model of care

DeBortoli, E.; Clinch, T.; Vaz-Goncalves, L.; Burbury, L.; Jeppesen, M.; Pinzon Charry, A.; Melo, M.; Sullivan, A.; Hunter, M.; Peake, J.; McInerney-Leo, A.; McNaughton, P.; Yanes, T.

2026-02-26 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.02.24.26347043
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PurposeWhile genomic testing is integral to pediatric inborn errors of immunity (IEI) care, few studies have examined strategies to support its optimal delivery. This study aimed to characterize a pediatric IEI cohort and assess the impact of implementing a mainstream model-of-care (MoC). Materials/MethodsComprehensive chart audit was conducted for patients ([&le;]18y) who received IEI genomic testing in Queensland, Australia, from 2017-2025. Descriptive analyses captured demographic and clinical characteristics, genomic testing and results, and management outcomes. Inferential analyses assessed changes in genomic practices pre-MoC (<2021) and post-MoC ([&ge;]2021). Results322 patients met eligibility criteria (n=481 genomic test). Diagnostic yield (27.6%) varied by testing indication, with the highest rate among phagocytic defects (n=4/4;100%) and severe combined immunodeficiency (n=8/10;80%). Very-early-onset inflammatory bowel disease had the lowest diagnostic yield (n=3/68;4.4%), prompting changes to testing criteria. Molecular diagnosis resulted in management changes for 90.5% patients. Genomic testing was widely used pre-MoC (n=251 genomic tests). All outcomes significantly improved pre-and post-MoC (p<0.05): duplicate testing decreased (13.9% to 0%); variants of uncertain significance reduced (37.7% to 7.1%); informed consent documentation increased (70.5% to 88.4%); and diagnostic yield increased (16.2% to 27.4%). ConclusionTargeted interventions are needed to support delivery of genomic testing and strengthen service effectiveness.

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Baseline predictors of mortality in non-idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis interstitial lung disease - A retrospective cohort study at a tertiary centre in Malaysia

Sia, L. C.; Wong, C. K.; Sivakumar, D.; Chandran, D. M.; Yeoh, K. L.; Ling, S.-Y.; Leong, W. L.; Pang, Y.-K.

2026-02-15 respiratory medicine 10.64898/2026.02.12.26346139
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Background and AimsThe prognosis of interstitial lung diseases (ILDs) other than idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) has not been studied as extensively as IPF. This study aimed to evaluate baseline factors associated with mortality in non-IPF ILD, including demographic characteristics, respiratory function test (RFT), comorbidities, and ILD subtypes. MethodsThis retrospective cohort study analysed prospectively collected data of patients with non-IPF ILD at a single tertiary centre in Malaysia (2010-2023). Patients without baseline RFT or HRCT were excluded. Survival was assessed using Kaplan-Meier analysis, and mortality predictors were identified using Cox regression. ResultsThe mean age was 60 {+/-} 15 years, with a male-to-female ratio of 1:3. Indian ethnicity constituted the largest group (n = 109, 47.6%). The mean baseline forced vital capacity (FVC) was 53.3 {+/-} 21% predicted. An FVC <50% predicted, age [&ge;]50 years at diagnosis, specific ILD subtypes, and ethnicity were independently associated with mortality. Compared with Malays, both Chinese (hazard ratio [HR] 9.86, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.27-76.89, p = 0.037) and Indians (HR 8.59, 95% CI 1.14-64.69, p = 0.001) were associated with a higher risk of death. Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated significant differences in survival across non-IPF ILD subtypes (log-rank p = 0.048), with hypersensitivity pneumonitis showing the poorest prognosis (mean survival 6.1 years). ConclusionEthnicity emerged as an independent prognostic factor for mortality in non-IPF ILD. The underlying mechanisms remain unclear and may reflect differences in genetic variation, cultural factors, or environmental exposures. Larger prospective studies are required to validate these findings.

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Pediatric Venous Excess Ultrasound Score (P-VExUS): A Novel Approach to Assess Central Venous Pressure in the PICU

Carioca, F. D. L.; Franzon, N. H.; Krzesinski, L. d. S.; Ferraz, I. d. S.; Nogueira, R. J. N.; De Souza, T. H.

2026-02-12 intensive care and critical care medicine 10.64898/2026.02.11.26346088
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ObjectivesTo develop and validate pediatric adaptations of the Venous Excess Ultrasound Score (P-VExUS) for noninvasive estimation of central venous pressure (CVP) in critically ill children. DesignProspective observational study. SettingPICU of a tertiary-care teaching hospital. PatientsFifty-six mechanically ventilated children (median age 7.4 months, median weight 6.0 kg) with central venous catheters. InterventionsNone. Measurements and Main ResultsVenous Doppler ultrasonography of the inferior vena cava, hepatic, portal, and intrarenal veins was performed at the bedside. Two P-VExUS models were tested: (1) a categorical grading system (0-III) and (2) a semiquantitative point-based score (0-7). Both models showed significant associations with CVP. For predicting elevated CVP (>12 mmHg), model 1 achieved an AUROC of 0.74 (95% CI 0.61-0.85) with 45% sensitivity and 98% specificity, while model 2 demonstrated superior accuracy with an AUROC of 0.94 (95% CI 0.84-0.98), sensitivity 82%, and specificity 91% (p < 0.001). For detecting low CVP (<7 mmHg), model 2 also outperformed model 1 (AUROC 0.80 vs. 0.69, p = 0.02). Among individual venous Doppler components, intrarenal veins had the highest discriminative ability (AUROC 0.92), followed by hepatic (0.89) and portal (0.80) veins. ConclusionsTwo pediatric-specific P-VExUS models were feasible and accurate for estimating CVP in critically ill children. The point-based model (model 2) demonstrated superior diagnostic performance, supporting its potential as a noninvasive tool to assess venous congestion at the bedside. Research in ContextO_LIVenous congestion, reflected by elevated central venous pressure (CVP), is associated with adverse outcomes in critically ill children, including mortality and renal dysfunction. C_LIO_LIThe Venous Excess Ultrasound Score (VExUS) is validated in adults, but pediatric-specific adaptations and cutoff values remain poorly defined. C_LIO_LIThere is a need for noninvasive, bedside tools to estimate CVP in children and guide fluid management in the PICU. C_LI What This Study MeansO_LIThis study validates pediatric-specific adaptations of the Venous Excess Ultrasound Score (P-VExUS) for estimating CVP in critically ill children. C_LIO_LIThe semiquantitative point-based model provided more consistent and accurate discrimination of venous congestion compared with categorical grading. C_LIO_LIThese findings highlight the feasibility and potential clinical utility of venous Doppler ultrasonography as a noninvasive bedside tool in the PICU. C_LI

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Determining Decision Thresholds For Physicians And Parents For Instituting A Do Not Attempt Resuscitation Order For Pediatric Inhospital Cardiac Arrest Patients. A Cross-Sectional Study Of Parents And Physicians In The United States

Mawani, M.; Shen, Y.; Knight, J. H.; McNally, B.; Ebell, M.

2026-02-18 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.02.17.26346477
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Background and ObjectivesDecision-making about resuscitating a critically ill child is complex yet common. We aimed to study the survival thresholds at which physicians, compared to parents, decide to treat or withhold resuscitating a child. Moreover, we aimed to compare physicians survival estimates with those from a nationwide registry. MethodsWe conducted a cross-sectional survey-based study in the United States. Clinical vignettes based on hypothetical survival probabilities were used to study and compare the decision thresholds for parents and physicians. Vignettes developed using the Get-With-The-Guidelines-Resuscitation registry were used to explore physicians decision thresholds and compare their survival estimates with those from the data. Thresholds were determined using mixed-effect logistic regression models. ResultsWe had decisions for 501 and 257 vignettes from 167 parents and 43 physicians, respectively. The decision threshold for survival to discharge was 5.3% (95% CI: 3.7 to 7.0) for physicians and 1.2% (95% CI: -0.8 to 3.0) for parents. Whereas the decision threshold for survival to discharge with PCPC 1 or 2 was 3.5% (95% CI: 1.1 to 7.1) for physicians and 0.6% (95% CI: -1.2 to 1.8) for parents. About 58% of the physicians overestimated the likelihood of survival. ConclusionsThe study found that the decision threshold for the physicians was higher than that for the parents (5.3% vs. 1.2%). This illustrates that parents still want to attempt resuscitation at a survival probability where physicians would recommend withholding resuscitation. These findings have implications for clinical practice and counseling the parents of critically ill hospitalized children.

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Development and internal validation of a prediction model for sleep apnea syndrome treated with continuous positive airway pressure based on claims and health checkup data linked to personal health records

Muraki, T.; Ueda, T.; Hasegawa, C.; Usui, H.; Koshimizu, H.; Ariyada, K.; Kusajima, K.; Tomita, Y.; Yanagisawa, M.; Iwagami, M.

2026-02-11 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.02.08.26345272
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PurposeTo develop and validate a prediction model for sleep apnea syndrome (SAS) treated with continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) in the general population. MethodsUsing claims and health checkup data held by JMDC Inc., linked to personal health records (Pep Up), we developed and internally validated a prediction model for SAS treated with CPAP, defined as a diagnosis of SAS and reimbursement records of CPAP. Every three months from January 1, 2022 to July 1, 2024 (i.e., 11 timepoints), we identified eligible individuals with available data both 1 year before and 1 year after that timepoint to define the presence/absence of SAS treated with CPAP, as well as 279 predictor variables. We developed a LightGBM model for the training and tuning datasets and evaluated its performance on the validation dataset. ResultsAmong 18,692,873 observations (mean age 44.8{+/-}11.3 years, women 37.5%) obtained from 1,858,566 people, 300,868 (1.6%) had SAS treated with CPAP. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.898 (95% confidence interval 0.895-0.901). The positive predictive values among people with the top 1% and 10% prediction scores were 28.3% and 10.3%, respectively. According to the SHapley Additive exPlanations plot, male sex was the most important predictor, followed by age, body mass index, and waist circumference. We also demonstrated that personal health records significantly improved the predictive performance. ConclusionWe developed a prediction model to identify people at high risk of SAS and encourage them to undergo polysomnography or related tests.

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Skin Residual Bilirubin Volume (SRBV): A Physiologically Informed Framework for Transcutaneous Bilirubin Interpretation in Neonates

Amadi, H. O.

2026-03-04 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.03.03.26347511
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BackgroundNeonatal jaundice management increasingly relies on transcutaneous bilirubinometry (TcB), yet discrepancies with serum bilirubin (TSB) have limited its clinical reliability. This study introduces Skin Residual Bilirubin Volume (SRBV) as a physiologically grounded framework to enhance TcB interpretation. ObjectiveTo evaluate SRBV as an explanation for TcB-TSB discordance and assess whether incorporating SRBV improves the interpretability and reliability of TcB measurements during diagnosis, phototherapy, and recovery. MethodsTcB readings (MBj20) were calibrated against laboratory TSB in non-jaundiced neonates (TSB <3 mg/dL). Neonates undergoing phototherapy were monitored using paired TcB measurements before and after treatment breaks (TBL-out and TBL-return). TSB was measured before treatment, at mid-treatment, and prior to discharge. Patterns of TcB-TSB disparity and an observed reproducible Recovery Value Flip (RVP) phenomenon were analysed. ResultsAcross 102 neonates, TBL consistently equalled or exceeded TSB, supporting the additive SRBV model. Early in phototherapy, TBL-return > TBL-out, indicating persistent cutaneous bilirubin. A reproducible RVP occurred mid-treatment, after which TBL-return < TBL-out coincided with sustained bilirubin decline. Fractional SRBV contribution increased with baseline bilirubin and persisted into recovery, demonstrating dynamic, patient-specific cutaneous bilirubin retention. ConclusionSRBV provides a biologically plausible explanation for TcB-TSB discordance and dynamic TcB behaviour. Incorporating SRBV into TcB interpretation enables physiologically informed monitoring, improving safety and reliability in laboratory-limited neonatal settings. Significance StatementTranscutaneous bilirubinometry is widely used but limited by disagreement with serum bilirubin. This study introduces SRBV as a physiological explanation for TcB variability and proposes an SRBV-adjusted framework that transforms TcB measurements into actionable, non-invasive clinical guidance.

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Adult Life Course Trajectories of Lung Function and the Development of Interstitial Lung Abnormalities: The CARDIA Lung Study

Grudzinski, K. M.; Liu, G. Y.; Colangelo, L. A.; Selvan, K. C.; Putman, R.; Hunninghake, G. M.; San Jose Estepar, R.; Washko, G.; Kalhan, R.; Esposito, A. J.

2026-03-06 respiratory medicine 10.64898/2026.03.03.26347486
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Background: Interstitial lung abnormalities (ILA) are radiologic findings of increased lung density or fibrosis in individuals without clinical interstitial lung disease (ILD) and are associated with increased mortality and progression to ILD. Understanding physiologic trajectories of lung function preceding ILA diagnosis may illuminate early mechanisms of lung injury. Methods: We recruited participants from the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) Lung Study, a prospective cohort of adults enrolled at ages 18 to 30 years and followed longitudinally for 25 years. Percent predicted forced vital capacity (ppFVC) was measured at five study visits over 20 years. Individual ppFVC trajectories were estimated using random coefficient models. Person specific slopes were incorporated into logistic regression models to examine associations with visually detected ILA on chest CT at exam year 25. Models were adjusted for age, sex, race, body mass index, pack years of smoking, and study center. Results: Among 3,136 participants with complete data, 57 (1.8%) had ILA at mean age 51 years. In univariable and multivariable models, individuals with ILA had greater cumulative decline in ppFVC over the 20 years preceding diagnosis. Each 10% absolute decline in ppFVC was associated with more than twice the odds of ILA (adjusted OR 2.21; 95% confidence interval 1.47, 3.31; p = 0.0001). Conclusions: Greater longitudinal decline in FVC from early adulthood was strongly associated with the presence of ILA at midlife. These findings suggest that physiologic impairments precede radiologic evidence of subclinical parenchymal lung abnormalities, underscoring the potential of life course lung function trajectories to identify individuals at risk for developing ILD.

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Projected impact of a national Tobacco 21 policy in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia

Tam, J.; Meza, R.; Aljabri, M. A.; Al-Zalabani, A. H.; Monshi, S. S.; Yakoub, A. A.; Aldhaher, F. M.; Hamza, M. M.; Albalawi, W.; Alsukait, R.; Shahin, M. A.; Cetinkaya, V.; Alghaith, T.

2026-02-27 health policy 10.64898/2026.02.25.26347109
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IntroductionTobacco smoking is especially high among males in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA). In 2019, 27.5% of males ages 15+ reported smoking. Despite a minimum age requirement of 18 years, data indicate that 6.8% of youth ages 13-15 currently smoke tobacco products. To reduce youth smoking, countries have raised the minimum purchase age to 21, also referred to as Tobacco 21. Except for Kuwait, no other Middle Eastern country has done so. We develop a tobacco smoking simulation model to project the potential impact of a national Tobacco 21 policy in Saudi Arabia. MethodsWe used data from three nationally representative health surveys in Saudi Arabia to develop the KSA Tobacco Control Policy (TCP) model, estimating smoking initiation and cessation rates for males, as smoking rates are low among females. A national Tobacco 21 policy was operationalized as a 34% (15%-53%) reduction to smoking initiation for ages 18-20. Economic impact was evaluated using the 2024 KSA value of a statistical life which ranges from $1.65 million to $5.15 million USD. ResultsUnder a status quo scenario, tobacco smoking prevalence in males would decrease to 10.2% by 2100. Implementation of Tobacco 21 in 2026 would decrease smoking prevalence to 9.4% (8.9%, 9.8%) by 2100. While modest, these reductions would eventually translate into nearly 5000 (2200, 7800) premature deaths averted with up to 155000 (69000, 241000) life years gained from 2026-2100, respectively. The total expected economic benefit ranges from $1.67 to $5.19 billion USD, equivalent to 6.25 to 19.45 billion SAR. DiscussionTimely implementation would support the KSA in its goals to reduce non-communicable disease and death; however, even under best-case conditions, a Tobacco 21 alone would not achieve the Vision 2030 smoking prevalence target of 9%. Additional policies that substantially increase smoking cessation are needed. What is already known on this topicThe leading causes of death in Saudi Arabia are all linked to tobacco smoking. Tobacco 21 policies have been pursued by numerous governments to reduce youth smoking, but such policies are lacking in Middle Eastern nations. What this study addsA nationwide Tobacco 21 policy in Saudi Arabia would reduce smoking initiation, smoking prevalence, and smoking-related mortality. Overall smoking prevalence among males ages 15+ would decline, and nearly 5000 premature deaths would be averted with up to 155,000 life years gained from 2026-2100, valued at 6.25 to 19.45 billion SAR. How this study might affect research, practice or policyThis study quantified for the first time the potential long-term benefits of a Tobacco 21 policy in Saudi Arabia for the male population. A Tobacco 21 policy would benefit future generations of young people by reducing their risk for heart disease, stroke, and cancer, currently the leading causes of death in the nation. However, additional efforts are needed in addition to Tobacco 21 policies to achieve tobacco smoking reduction goals.

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Therapeutic Response by Radiologic Pattern of Lung Injury in Myositis-Associated Interstitial Lung Disease: a Retrospective Cohort Study

Bolig, T. C.; Grudzinski, K.; Shawabkeh, M.; Selvan, K. C.; Goodwin, R. J.; Olson, E.; Bemiss, B. C.; Parekh, N.; Savas, H.; Dematte, J. E.; Esposito, A. J.

2026-03-04 respiratory medicine 10.64898/2026.03.03.26347563
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ObjectiveMyositis-associated interstitial lung disease (myositis-ILD) consists of two predominant radiologic patterns of lung injury--nonspecific interstitial pneumonia (NSIP) and organizing pneumonia (OP)--that oftentimes coexist. However, it remains unclear whether either is associated with clinical outcomes. We aimed to assess the therapeutic response in patients with NSIP-compared to those with OP-predominant myositis-ILD. MethodsThis retrospective, single-center cohort study recruited participants from the Northwestern University ILD Registry with a circulating myositis-associated antibody, ILD, and at least 6 months of follow-up while on immunomodulatory therapy during a 24-month observation period after diagnosis. Two thoracic radiologists determined the predominant radiologic pattern (NSIP or OP). The primary outcome was the absolute change in forced vital capacity (FVC) at 24 months post-diagnosis. Secondary outcomes included changes in the diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (DLCO) and radiologic qualitative and quantitative measures of lung injury. ResultsForty-one participants were included in analyses. 71% had an OP-predominant while 29% had an NSIP-predominant radiologic pattern of lung injury. Both exposure cohorts had improvement in mean absolute FVC (OP cohort = +0.18L [p=0.005], NSIP cohort = +0.24L [p=0.07]) over the 24-month observation period. The OP (p<0.05) but not the NSIP cohort (p=0.20) had an increase in DLCO. The OP cohort demonstrated improvement in the qualitative assessment of follow-up imaging (p<0.05), driven by quantitative improvement in groundglass/consolidative opacities (p=0.006). A subset of participants demonstrated features of NSIP/OP overlap and had greater baseline radiologic severity of lung injury. ConclusionPatients with circulating myositis-associated antibodies and an OP-predominant pattern of lung injury may have a more favorable response to therapy than those with NSIP. Further studies are needed to validate our findings and delineate other features cognate with these associations. Significance and InnovationsO_LIRadiologic phenotyping may predict therapeutic response in myositis-ILD. This study demonstrates that an OP-predominant computed tomography (CT) pattern of lung injury is associated with greater improvement in lung function and radiologic signs of inflammation over 24 months on at least 6 months of immunomodulatory therapy compared with an NSIP-predominant pattern, suggesting that CT pattern may provide clinically meaningful prognostic information. C_LIO_LIFirst study to integrate blinded qualitative radiologic adjudication with quantitative CT scoring in myositis-ILD. By combining dual-radiologist review with Kazerooni quantitative scoring and longitudinal pulmonary function testing, this study offers a rigorous and multidimensional assessment of treatment response. C_LIO_LIExpands risk stratification beyond antibody-based toward imaging-based phenotyping strategies. In a heterogeneous population defined by diverse myositis-associated antibodies, this work introduces radiologic pattern as a practical and accessible framework for anticipating treatment responsiveness. C_LIO_LIProvides hypothesis-generating data for precision management in myositis-ILD. The findings support the concept that imaging-defined subgroups may exhibit differential therapeutic trajectories, laying groundwork for future multicenter studies integrating CT phenotype, antibody profile, and treatment strategy. C_LI

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Work-related stress and consumption of psychoactive substances and medications among early childhood professionals in Orleans Metropole, CCTVL, and Fleury-les-Aubrais (TraPsyCOL): Study protocol for a cross-sectional study

KHAZAAL, W.; ONNEE, S.; NAECK, R.; MORISSET-LOPEZ, S.; BARIL, P.; VERNAY, O.; SERREAU, R.

2026-02-27 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.02.25.26347115
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Work-related stress is a major public health issue affecting workers across various sectors. Individuals experiencing work-related stress are more likely to consume psychoactive substances, primarily alcohol, tobacco, and cannabis, as well as psychoactive medications, which may be used as coping mechanisms. Work-related stress is also associated with adverse outcomes such as burnout, depression, anxiety, and sleep disorders. In France, early childhood professionals, including "ATSEMs", "animateurs", and "agents dentretien", play a crucial role in the education, care, and well-being of children but are exposed to high levels of occupational stress due to the emotionally demanding nature of their work and the associated physical strain, making them vulnerable to substance use, burnout, depression, anxiety, and sleep disorders. This cross-sectional epidemiological study, conducted at a single time point, will be carried out among early childhood professionals working in schools for children in Orleans Metropole, Communaute de Communes des Terres du Val de Loire (CCTVL), and Fleury-les-Aubrais. Ethical approval for this study was obtained from the Ethics Committee of the Centre Hospitalier Universitaire dOrleans (assigned reference number is CERO 2511-02). The study aims to provide a better understanding of the relationship between work-related stress and the use of psychoactive substances and medications among early childhood professionals, as well as the association between work-related stress and burnout, depression, anxiety, and sleep disorders. Data will be collected anonymously using self-administered online questionnaires, accessed via a QR code printed on flyers distributed to participants. The same QR code will also provide access to an information sheet explaining that the study complies with ethical guidelines and that proceeding implies non-objection to participation. Based on calculations performed using BiostaTGV, a sample size of 265 participants is required. Statistical analysis will be conducted using SPSS software. Studying these associations is essential for informing the development of targeted interventions and prevention.

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Essential newborn care in Sidama, Ethiopia: Findings from a community-based cross-sectional household survey.

Agafari, H. G.; Deneke, Y. S.; Biratu, A. K.; Balla, Y. Y.; Tekle, A. G.

2026-02-11 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.02.06.26345520
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AbstractO_ST_ABSObjectiveC_ST_ABSTo describe the existing status and associated factors influencing the utilization of four WHO-recommended essential newborn care among mothers of infants aged 45 days to one year in rural Sidama, Ethiopia. DesignA community-based cross-sectional household survey was conducted in June and July 2023. Data were collected through interviewing mothers of infants using pretested questionnaire. Participants were selected through a multi-stage sampling. Data were analyzed using Stata V.15. SettingSelected rural kebeles of Bilate Zuriya, Boricha, Hawassa Zuriya and Shebedino districts of Sidama, Ethiopia. Participants1,821 mothers of infants aged 45 days to one year. Primary outcome measuresthe proportion of babies who received some or all components of the four WHO-recommended essential newborn cares. ResultsOf 1,821 mothers, 53.9% (981/1,821) reported that their newborns had received immediate and thorough drying, 52.7% (959/1,821) indicated immediate skin-to-skin contact, and 46.9% (854/1,821) revealed that babies initiated breastfeeding within one hour after birth. However, only 2.3% (42/1,821) of mothers reported delayed cord clamping. No newborn received all four. Only 15% (273/1,821) reportedly received at least three of the four, 38.8% (706/1,821) received two, 33.2% (605/1,821) received one, and 13% (237/1,821) have not received any of the care. Facility delivery (RRR=5.26; 95% CI: 1.11, 8.89), Proximity to a facility (RRR=1.70; 95% CI: 1.09, 2.67), living in communities with higher wealth (RRR=11.74; 95% CI: 3.09, 44.63), insurance coverage (RRR=6.54; 95% CI: 2.25, 19.06), and education levels (RRR=7.75; 95% CI: 2.57, 23.34) were significantly associated with utilization of three. ConclusionThe utilization rate of essential newborn care in rural Sidama is unacceptably low. Individual and community level factors were significantly associated with the use. A comprehensive strategy must therefore address the identified factors. Strengths and limitations of the studyThis study has methodological strengths including the uses, a strong community-based study design with a large sample size (N=1,821) and complete response rate, rigorous data quality assurance through electronic collection (Kobo tool box). Further we carefully selected and trained data collectors to minimize social desirability bias, and included a number of variables relevant for policy considerations, and used of multilevel modeling to account for hierarchical data structure. However, the researchers acknowledged several limitations and implemented strategies to alleviate them. Reliance on maternal self-report introduces potential recall and social desirability biases, which were addressed through specific interviewer techniques and by focusing on memorable events. Moreover, the lack of direct observational cross-validation for clinical practices such delayed cord clamping remains a constraint.

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Group programmes to improve the skills, confidence and wellbeing of caregivers of children with neurodisability: a systematic review of effects

Prest, K.; Barnicot, K.; Drew, S.; Hurt, C.; Nicklin, D.; Harden, A.; Heys, M.

2026-02-12 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.02.11.26346104
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BackgroundCaregiver skills training programmes are well-researched in the fields of autism and intellectual disability, but children with motor disorders such as cerebral palsy remain underrepresented despite their high prevalence. These caregivers face unique challenges, and group programmes may provide family-centred care through information provision, problem-solving and peer support. MethodsSystematic searches of five databases (CINAHL, Medline, Embase, PsychINFO and ERIC) were conducted for interventional studies of group programmes aiming to improve the skills, confidence and wellbeing of caregivers of children with neurodisability focusing on motor disorders. Data were extracted on study and intervention characteristics and outcomes. Risk of bias was assessed, effect sizes calculated, and results summarised descriptively using forest plots. ResultsOf 6093 studies identified, 21 studies met inclusion criteria (nine randomised-controlled trials, two quasi-experimental and ten pre-post designs). Most reported on programmes developed in resource-constrained settings and addressed caregiver skills, coping strategies, or health-promoting behaviours. Outcomes were grouped according to caregiver wellbeing, caregiver skills and confidence, and social support and family functioning. Child outcomes were reported separately. Most caregiver outcomes showed positive effects, though most studies had high risk of bias due to self-reported outcomes and lack of blinding of intervention allocation and outcome measurement. DiscussionGroup-based training programmes show promise for improving caregiver skills and wellbeing. Clinicians and stakeholders in high-income countries may learn from these innovations in low-resource settings. Future research should strengthen protocol reporting, address attrition, control for confounding factors, and establish a core set of caregiver-reported outcomes to better capture programme impact. Systematic review registrationPROSPERO registration CRD42024595002