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Pediatric Pulmonology

○ Wiley

Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match Pediatric Pulmonology's content profile, based on 14 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Sex-stratified and interaction multi-omics analysis of DNA methylation and gene expression in asthma

Dessie, E. Y.; Gautam, Y.; Rosen, B. H.; Mendy, A.; Kang, M.; Mersha, T. B.

2026-10-21 respiratory medicine 10.64898/2026.10.19.26365928 medRxiv
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Background: Sex differences in asthma are well recognized, but sex-associated airway DNA methylation (DNAm) patterns and their relationships with gene expression remain incompletely characterized. We therefore conducted cis- and trans-expression quantitative trait methylation (eQTM) analyses using sex-stratified and CpG-by-sex interaction models. Methods: We analyzed nasal airway epithelial DNAm and transcriptomic data from 298 participants in the CAAPA discovery cohort. Asthma-associated differentially methylated CpGs (DMCs) were identified using sex-combined and sex-stratified models. Cis- and trans-eQTM analyses were then performed in participants with asthma using sex-combined, sex-stratified, and CpG-by-sex interaction models. To prioritize asthma-associated regulatory relationships, eQTMs that were also significant in non-asthmatic controls were excluded from downstream analyses. Replication in an independent bronchial epithelial cohort was defined by concordant effect direction and P < 0.05. Replicated targets underwent pathway and network analyses. Findings: Asthma-associated DMCs were predominantly hypomethylated in females and hypermethylated in males. Among trans-eQTMs, 379 associations were shared across all four models, whereas the majority were model-specific, indicating extensive sex-dependent regulatory architecture. We replicated 3, 1, 9, and 2 cis-eQTMs and 96, 84, 216, and 41 trans-eQTMs in the sex-combined, female-stratified, male-stratified, and interaction models, respectively. Sex-combined targets implicated innate immune and inflammatory signaling (TNF, IRF8); female-stratified targets implicated cytoskeletal remodeling, focal adhesion, and PI3K-Akt signaling (ITGA10); male-stratified targets implicated transcriptional regulation and post-translational modification (MOV10, HDAC7, CSF1, KAT2A); and interaction targets implicated lipid-mediator metabolism and inflammatory signaling and resolution (CYP2C9, LTB4R, CCL19). Our sex-dependent analyses showed that the majority of eQTMs resided within the trans-regulatory architecture, suggesting that sex-dependent gene expression differences are associated predominantly with trans rather than cis regulatory mechanisms. Pathway analyses revealed enrichment of innate immunity in the sex-combined model, structural remodeling in females, transcriptional control in males, and inflammatory resolution in the sex-interaction model. Interpretation: Sex-specific and sex-dependent airway methylation-expression associations were largely undetected by sex-combined analysis. Sex-aware analytical models may help resolve epigenetic mechanisms underlying sex differences in asthma biology.

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Vitamin D Supplementation For The Prevention Of Respiratory Infections In Childhood: A Systematic Review And Meta-Analysis

Sousa, H. K. P.; Siqueira, T. d. S.; Oliveira, M. A. M. d. C.; Carvalho, E. R. B. d.; Cavalcante, A. J. H.; Silva, J. B. T. d.; Viana, P. L. V.; Fidencio, G. S.; Costa, V. C. S.; Arnaud, L. M. L. B.; Matos, A. P. V.; Barbosa, J. M. R.

2026-10-13 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.10.11.26365254 medRxiv
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Background: Vitamin D modulates innate and adaptive immunity and has been investigated for preventing pediatric respiratory infections. Objective: To assess the effects of vitamin D supplementation on respiratory tract infections (RTIs), including upper RTIs, lower RTIs/recurrent pneumonia, and hospitalization/clinical severity in children and adolescents. Methods: Systematic review and random-effects meta-analysis of 16 publications, of which 13 contributed to quantitative synthesis. Twenty-four effect estimates were pooled, eight per outcome. The odds ratio (OR) was analyzed on its natural logarithmic scale (logOR), using restricted maximum likelihood (REML) estimation and Knapp-Hartung (KH) adjusted inference. Where necessary, risk ratios (RRs), hazard ratios (HRs), and incidence rate ratios (IRRs) were approximated on the logOR scale. Results: For respiratory infection/upper RTI, pooled logOR was -0.284 (KH-adjusted 95% confidence interval [CI]: -0.678 to 0.110; OR 0.753; p = 0.132; I2 = 97.2%). For lower RTI/recurrent pneumonia, logOR was -0.445 (95% CI: -0.987 to 0.097; OR 0.641; p = 0.093; I2 = 89.5%). For hospitalization/clinical severity, logOR was -0.609 (95% CI: -1.134 to -0.083; OR 0.544; p = 0.029; I2 = 78.3%). Conclusions: Pooled estimates favored supplementation in direction for all three groups, although confidence intervals included the null for the first two. Heterogeneity was substantial, and the results are limited by approximations among effect measures, clinically diverse endpoints, and potentially correlated effects from individual studies.

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Clinicians Perspectives on Fighting the Ventilator

Olivier, L.; Madzhakova, D.; Lauterbach Oprea, C.; Stollenwerk, A.; Orlikowsky, T.; Schoberer, M.

2026-10-21 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.10.20.26365990 medRxiv
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Introduction: Fighting the ventilator (FV) is characterized by a patients active counteraction of respiratory gas flow across multiple breaths during mechanical ventilation. An effective ventilation is prevented during such episodes. The objective of this exploratory study was to evaluate clinicians knowledge, perception and agreement regarding this condition. Methods: In a cross-sectional online survey, medical professionals with experience in intensive care medicine (mostly neonatal and pediatric patients) responded to 11 questions covering various clinical aspects of FV. Results: All respondents were familiar with the phenomenon and assessed it to be clinically relevant. Neonates were perceived to be predominantly affected. Promoting factors of FV included inadequate sedation and ventilation-associated factors. In clinical practice, the participants identified FV by clinical evaluation, analysis of ventilator waveforms and capnography and used both pharmacological and non-pharmacological intervention strategies. There was no consensus concerning the English terminology of the condition. Only few respondents were familiar with local guidelines to manage FV. Conclusion: Although there was consensus on the relevance of FV, diagnostics and management strategies were highly heterogeneous. Many participants agreed that poor patient-ventilator synchrony was an important cause of FV. Future work should focus on characterizing and generating evidence on FV.

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Blood epigenetic remodeling in asthma associated with biologic therapy

Martin-Almeida, M.; Perez-Garcia, J.; Martin-Gonzalez, E.; Poza-Guedes, P.; Antonio-Canas, J.; Sanchez-Machin, I.; Hernandez-Perez, J. M.; Gonzalez-Garcia, D.; Mederos-Luis, E.; Roman-Bernal, B.; Villar, J.; Valverde-Monge, M.; Betancor, D.; Rodriguez-Nieto, M. J.; Lorenzo-Diaz, F.; del Pozo, V.; Gonzalez-Perez, R.; Pino-Yanes, M.

2026-09-30 allergy and immunology 10.64898/2026.09.24.26363868 medRxiv
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Background. Polygenic risk scores (PRS) capture inherited susceptibility to asthma, whereas methylation risk scores (MRS) may reflect disease-associated epigenetic variation. We assessed whether these scores differ in patients requiring biologic therapy and whether MRS change after mepolizumab initiation. Methods. Cross-sectional analyses in the GEMAS study included 699 participants with genotype data (428 with asthma, 271 controls) and 668 with blood DNA methylation data (408 with asthma, 260 controls). We evaluated 35 existing asthma PRS and derived six MRS from published epigenomic asthma studies. Longitudinal MRS changes after mepolizumab initiation were assessed in 16 GEMAS patients and were replicated in 20 patients from the MEGA study. Results. Twenty-eight PRS differentiated biologic-treated patients from controls (areas under the curve [AUC], 0.68-0.75), but none distinguished biologic-treated and non-treated patients after multiple-testing correction. MRS was higher in asthma without biologic than in controls (odds ratio [OR], 1.64; 95% CI, 1.34-1.99) and lower in biologic-treated than in asthma without biologic patients (OR, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.35-0.81). MRS did not differ significantly between biologic-treated patients and controls. Following mepolizumab initiation, MRS decreased at 6 and 12 months in GEMAS (p=4.81x10-5 and p=2.40x10-5, respectively). The 6-month decrease was also observed in MEGA (p=3.25x10-9). MRS epigenetic markers were predominantly hypermethylated, opposite to their described pattern in asthma risk. Conclusions. Asthma PRS did not differ significantly between biologic-treated and non-biologic-treated patients, but asthma MRS were lower in biologic-treated patients. The MRS decreased after mepolizumab initiation in two independent cohorts, consistent with a reversal of asthma-associated epigenetic patterns.

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Assessing respiratory rates and signs of air hunger using the PneumoRator sensor.

Hudson-Colby, J.; Baston, H.; Harding, M.; Brider, S.; Yates, F.; Shaban, M.; White, N. M.; Lewis, A.

2026-09-26 respiratory medicine 10.64898/2026.09.21.26363466 medRxiv
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Objectives: To investigate whether the PneumoRator wearable sensor could accurately assess Respiratory Rate (RR) and signs of air hunger (SAH) compared with clinician-observed assessment in adults with and without breathing pattern disorder (BrPD). Design: A pilot cross-sectional observational study. Setting: A research laboratory on a university campus. Participants: Healthy adults aged 18-40, who were not pregnant, no smokers or history of cardiovascular, respiratory or neurological illness. Thirty consented to the study, Twenty-nine had full data for analysis. Interventions: Participants wore the PneumoRator chest-worn sensor continuously for 10 minutes while seated at rest. Main outcome measures: Respiratory Rate was compared between PneumoRator-derived measurements and randomised 1-minute observer manual counts. Clinician-observed SAH and BrPD were assessed using the Breathing Pattern Assessment Tool (BPAT). Participants also completed the Nijmegen Questionnaire. PneumoRator signals were analysed to identify large-volume breaths as potential SAH events. Results: Thirty participants were recruited. Twelve participants met BPAT criteria for BrPD and four met Nijmegen Questionnaire criteria. There was no significant difference between manual and PneumoRator RR measurements (p=0.89). No significant difference was observed between methods for SAH detection (p=0.17). Participants with clinician-observed SAH demonstrated significantly higher PneumoRator signal amplitudes than those without SAH (p=0.035). Conclusion: The PneumoRator produced RR measurements comparable to clinician assessment and demonstrated potential for identifying signs of air hunger. Findings from this pilot study indicate that the PneumoRator device shows promise as a tool for continuous RR monitoring and as an adjunct to BrPD assessment. Larger clinical validation studies are now warranted.

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Uptake, reidentification and regret in pediatric gender care

Tollit, M. A.; Conabere, W.; Gray, K.; Sibley, C.; Ayub, I.; Pace, C. C.; Traill, A.; Russo-Batterham, T.; Cavve, B. S.; Ravipati, T.; Rayner, C.; Pang, K. C.

2026-09-24 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.09.17.26363359 medRxiv
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Background: Gender-affirming medical care (GAMC) for children and adolescents in Australia has become increasingly politicized, despite care being provided in accordance with latest evidence-based international guidelines. Critics of GAMC claim that current assessment and deliberation processes are insufficient, and that too many young people are accessing medical interventions, no longer identifying as trans, and expressing treatment regret. These claims have led to widespread bans on the provision of paediatric GAMC, despite growing evidence regarding harms caused by such bans. Aim: This study sought to describe the care journeys of the young people attending Australia's largest paediatric gender service, with a focus on reporting the rates at which young people commenced medical interventions, re-identified with their birth-assigned sex, and expressed regret about their treatment. Methods: The Royal Children's Hospital Gender Service (RCHGS) is a statewide service that provides individualised multidisciplinary care to trans and gender diverse young people in Victoria, Australia. An initial extended triage appointment explores the needs and goals of the young person and their family. Some proceed to receive individualised multidisciplinary care (MDC) at RCHGS which can include psychosocial assessment and management, family support, and medical interventions including pubertal suppression (PS) and gender-affirming hormonal therapy (GAHT). We undertook a retrospective file audit of all patients who had attended at least one RCHGS appointment and been discharged between 1/1/2017-31/12/2024. For each person, key data were extracted from their electronic medical record and recorded in REDCap. Results: 1,391 patients were discharged over the 8-year study period and many different care trajectories were observed. 814 (58.5%) did not access ongoing MDC. Of the remaining 577, 353 (25.4% of total cohort) started a medical intervention ((PS: n=64/1391 (4.6%); estradiol: n=97/1391 (7.0%); testosterone: n=244/1391 (17.5%)). For those who started these medical interventions, the median duration and number of sessions from first appointment until commencement of medications was 530 (IQR: 371-693) days and 9 (IQR: 7-13) sessions. 346 of these patients (98.0%) had data on gender identity at discharge and subsequent care pathways. 7 (2.0%) re-identified with their birth-registered sex and stopped treatment: 4 did so after commencing PS (4/61=6.6% of those starting PS), 2 did so after commencing testosterone, and 1 did so after commencing estradiol (3/341=0.9% of those starting GAHT). Just one of these patients, who had been on estradiol for 1 month, expressed treatment regret given concerns about initial breast budding and future fertility. Conclusion: This study highlights varied trajectories of those referred to paediatric gender services, directly challenges claims used to justify restrictions on paediatric GAMC and underscores the importance of a person-centred approach to care.

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Intrathoracic Adipose Tissue and Airway Structure, Lung Function, and Respiratory Symptoms: The Framingham Heart Study

Zhang, J.; Bosch, N. A.; Law, A. C.; Choi, S. H.; Wilson, K. C.; Dupuis, J.; Washko, G. R.; Cho, M. H.; O'Connor, G. T.

2026-09-26 respiratory medicine 10.64898/2026.09.21.26363534 medRxiv
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Background: Obesity is associated with airway disease, but the contribution of specific thoracic adipose depots remains unclear. We examined whether intrathoracic adipose tissue (ITAT), defined as adipose tissue within the thoracic cavity excluding pericardial adipose tissue (PAT), was associated with airway phenotypes. Methods: We included Framingham Heart Study participants with CT-derived thoracic adipose tissue measures. Cross-sectional associations of ITAT with CT-based airway wall and lumen measurements, spirometry, and respiratory symptoms were evaluated using multivariable regression. Primary analyses used sex-specific ITAT z-scores and adjusted for waist circumference to account for central obesity. Secondary analyses examined sex-specific ITAT quintiles and compared ITAT and PAT in individual-depot and mutually adjusted models. Results: Among 2,825 adult participants (52.0% female), after adjustment for waist circumference, each 1-SD higher ITAT, relative to the sex-specific distribution, was associated with greater segmental ({beta} [95% CI]: 0.010 mm [0.006, 0.014]) and subsegmental airway wall thickness (0.006 mm [0.002, 0.009]), narrower segmental airway lumen diameter (-0.049 [-0.088, -0.011]), lower FEV1 percent predicted (-1.92 percentage points [-2.72, -1.12]), and higher odds of wheezing (OR [95% CI]: 1.16 [1.02, 1.31]) and dyspnea (1.22 [1.05, 1.42]). Associations were similar after further adjustment for PAT and across ITAT quintiles. In contrast, PAT was not independently associated with airway structural measures after adjustment for ITAT. Conclusion: Higher ITAT volume was associated with greater airway wall thickness and narrower airway lumen, as well as lower FEV1 and greater respiratory symptoms, independent of central obesity and pericardial adiposity. These findings support a depot-specific association of ITAT with airway disease.

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Factors Associated with Predischarge Morbidity and Mortality in Small for Gestational Age Infants: A Single-Center Retrospective Cohort Study

Cinkus-Rios, C.; Pickell, S.; Thompson, C.; Bomback, M.; Lyford, A.; Hays, T.

2026-10-09 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.10.07.26364995 medRxiv
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Objective: To identify factors associated with predischarge morbidity and mortality among small for gestational age infants. Study Design: We conducted a retrospective single-center cohort study of small for gestational age infants admitted to a level IV neonatal intensive care unit. We determined the association of clinical characteristics, congenital anomalies, and genetic disorders with the primary outcome of predischarge morbidity or mortality and characterized morbidity and mortality across congenital anomaly subgroups. Results: Among 293 small for gestational age infants, 18 (6.1%) had a genetic disorder and 103 (35.2%) had a major congenital anomaly, with congenital heart disease (CHD) representing the largest subgroup. The primary outcome of morbidity or mortality occurred in 93 infants (31.7%); 74 infants (25.3%) experienced morbidity and 19 (6.5%) died. CHD (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 16.5, 95% CI 6.44-45.7) and multiple congenital anomalies (aOR: 17.8, 95% CI 4.64-71.1) were found to be strongly associated with morbidity or mortality, after accounting for sex, maternal race, and intubation > 7 days. Statistically significant associations were also found with the presence of musculoskeletal anomalies as well as genetic disorders in infants without congenital anomalies, though in limited sample sizes. CHD was the largest contributor to morbidity, whereas multiple congenital anomalies accounted for the greatest proportion of mortality. Infants with abdominal wall defects and central nervous system anomalies experienced no morbidity or mortality. Conclusion: Congenital heart disease and multiple congenital anomalies were strongly associated with morbidity and mortality among SGA infants, whereas the degree of SGA alone was not. These findings suggest that risk is not explained by the degree of SGA alone and may be more strongly associated with congenital disease and other underlying factors.

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Identification of pleiotropic genes and biological mechanisms underlying the shared genetic component between asthma, neuropsychiatric disorders, and substance use behaviors

Huang, H.; Vernet, R.; Troubat, L.; Linhard, C.; Chataigner, L.; Suzuki, Y.; Fischer, S.; Aschard, h.; Demenais, F.; Bouzigon, E.; Julienne, H.

2026-10-19 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.10.16.26364574 medRxiv
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Asthma patients suffer from neuropsychiatric disorders (NPDs) more often than expected and NPD patients have a higher prevalence of smoking, which can lead to asthma. To investigate the genetic mechanisms underlying this complex relationship, we performed an integrative analysis of GWAS summary statistics from four asthma subtypes, 12 NPDs, and six substance use behaviors (SUBs). Asthma shares an important genetic component with post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), major depressive disorder, and attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) that cannot be fully accounted for by smoking. Multi-trait GWAS identified 354 independent variants mapping to 178 pleiotropic genes capturing the core of the shared genetics of asthma, NPD, and SUB. Single-cell transcriptomic analysis across blood, brain, and lung tissues revealed pleiotropic gene overexpression in 57 cell types and three candidate mechanisms linking asthma and NPDs. First, immune-related pleiotropic genes are expressed in microglia, blood and lung immune cells, suggesting shared immune dysfunction. Second, the pleiotropic genes EP300, RERE, and MAML3 regulate NOTCH signaling and are expressed in neurons, microglia, and lymphoid progenitors. Third, pleiotropic genes expressed in ciliated cells of both lung and brain implicate ciliary dysfunction. These findings may help identify new treatment strategies for patients with co-occurring asthma and neuropsychiatric disorders.

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Epigenome-Wide Association Study of the Upper-Airway Microbiome Involved in Asthma Exacerbations

Castillo-Vargas, E.; Martin-Almeida, M.; Bozack, A. K.; Garcia, E. L.; Martin-Gonzalez, E.; Gonzalez-Perez, R.; Hernandez-Perez, J. M.; Sardon-Prado, O.; Poza-Guedes, P.; Mederos-Luis, E.; Corcuera-Elosegui, P.; Sanchez-Machin, I.; Lopez-Fernandez, L.; Rifas-Shiman, S. L.; Hashimoto, S.; Vijverberg, S. J. H.; Neerincx, A. H.; Buntrock-Döpke, H.; Gorenjak, M.; Toncheva, A. A.; Harner, S.; Brandstetter, S.; Wolff, C.; Potocnik, U.; Kabesch, M.; Kraneveld, A. D.; Villar, J.; Hivert, M.-F.; Oken, E.; Gold, D. R.; Abdel-Aziz, M. I.; Maitland-van der Zee, A. H.; Cardenas, A.; Lorenzo-Diaz, F.; Pino

2026-10-05 allergy and immunology 10.64898/2026.10.02.26364005 medRxiv
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Rationale: The role of DNA methylation (DNAm) markers in the upper-airway microbiome related to asthma exacerbations despite inhaled corticosteroid (ICS) treatment is unexplored. Objectives: To identify whole-blood DNAm markers associated with the upper-airway microbiome related to asthma exacerbations despite ICS treatment. Methods: We analyzed salivary, nasal, and pharyngeal microbiome in 242 asthma patients (GEMAS) for discovery. We tested associations between whole-blood DNAm at 703,505 CpGs and 21 exacerbation-related microbiome traits. Replication for the nasal microbiome was evaluated in 272 (Project Viva) and 66 (SysPharmPediA) children with and without asthma. We analyzed differentially methylated regions (DMRs), gene enrichment, associations with blood gene expression (RNA-seq, n=119), and DNAm predictors of plasma proteins. Measurements and Main Results: Whole-blood DNAm at 73 CpGs and 550 DMRs was associated with 17 exacerbation-related microbiome traits (false discovery rate [FDR]<0.05), including genes implicated in immune and inflammatory responses and the 17q12-q21 asthma locus ORMDL3. Most CpGs were associated with Campylobacter (pharyngeal) and Leptotrichia (nasal) abundance. Ten DNAm markers were replicated (p<0.05), including the corticosteroid insensitivity-related gene PTPRR associated with nasal bacterial richness. Enrichment analyses identified genes related to diabetes, obesity, smoking, TGF-{beta}, and Wnt signaling and regulated by trichostatin A, NF-{kappa}B, and the glucocorticoid receptor (FDR<0.05). The CpG cg18994033, associated with pharyngeal Tannerella, was associated with ITM2C whole-blood expression. Nine DNAm-predicted plasma proteins involved in inflammation, tissue remodeling, and TGF-{beta} signaling were associated with seven exacerbation-related microbiome traits, including Streptococcus and Selenomonas. Conclusions: Whole-blood DNAm markers implicated in inflammation, immunity, and asthma comorbidities are associated with the upper-airway microbiome linked to asthma exacerbations.

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Long term Follow-up of the TREOCAPA (Prophylactic TREatment Of the duCtus Arteriosus in Preterm infants by Acetaminophen) Study (TREOCAPA-LT): protocol and statistical analysis plan

Morgan, A. S.; Roze, J.-C.; Ursino, M.; Alberti, C.; Desplebin, V.; Durox, M.; Hankard, R.; Hamrit, M.; Johnson, S. J.; Kemper, R.; Marcon, Y.; Michel, M.; Zeitlin, J.; Cambonie, G.

2026-10-05 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.09.30.26364424 medRxiv
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Introduction: The TREOCAPA (Prophylactic TREatment Of the duCtus Arteriosus in Preterm infants by Acetaminophen) trial was a pan-European, multi-centre, phase II/III trial investigating the impact of prophylactic paracetamol (also known as acetaminophen) given during the first 5 days of life for children born before 29 weeks' gestational age (GA) on survival to 36 weeks' post-menstrual age without severe neonatal morbidities. However, due to time restrictions, long-term follow-up was not planned as part of the initial trial despite recommendations for neonatal trials to include endpoints measuring efficacy after discharge from the neonatal unit and on-going debate about the long-term effects of paracetamol in the neonatal period. This protocol describes a study to follow-up participants in the TREOCAPA trial at 2 years corrected age initiated after the trial's onset. Methods and analysis: The TREOCAPA Long Term (TREOCAPA-LT) study population consists of all children included in the TREOCAPA phase III trial in centres in countries participating in the follow-up study who are aged between 23.5 and 27.5 months corrected age during the study period. Families are contacted by the clinical teams and a parent or guardian is invited to complete an internet-based (online) questionnaire. The primary outcome is cognition, as measured by the non-verbal Cognitive Scale standard score from the Parent Report of Children's Abilities-Revised (PARCA-R) questionnaire. Secondary outcomes are moderate to severe neurodevelopment, health service use and costs. Data will be analysed according to the study groups to which children were randomised in the original TREOCAPA RCT. Ethics and Dissemination: The TREOCAPA-LT protocol was first approved by ethics' committees in France (the study's sponsor) and subsequently by all participating countries. Results from TREOCAPA-LT will be published in open access journals in accordance with the funder's regulations. Registration: https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT06064825

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Effectiveness of nirsevimab against hospitalization for RSV bronchiolitis according to RSV lineages

Barbier, M.; Levy, C.; Cohen, R.; Valtuille, Z.; Assad, Z.; Yang, J.-s.; Fafi, I.; Lenglart, L.; Bechet, S.; Osei, L.; Launay, E.; Gras Le Guen, C.; Gajdos, V.; Jeziorski, E.; De Pontual, L.; Basmaci, R.; Rameix-Welti, M.-A.; Ouldali, N.; Fourati, S.; French RSV Surveillance Network,

2026-09-29 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.09.28.26364231 medRxiv
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Importance: Nirsevimab, a monoclonal antibody against RSV, was implemented in France in September 2023. Recently, rare resistance-associated substitutions were described in RSV but the effectiveness according to lineages remains unclear. Objective: We aimed to estimate the effectiveness of nirsevimab against hospitalization for RSV bronchiolitis according to RSV lineages. Design: We conducted a multicenter test-negative case-control study from October 15, 2023 to March 15, 2025. Setting: This study was based on data from three national multicentric prospective studies. The 12 participating centers were secondary or tertiary hospital with a pediatric department located in France. Participants: We included all children younger than 12 months who were hospitalized for RSV bronchiolitis in one of the participating centers in France during the two first RSV epidemic seasons following the implementation of nirsevimab (from October 15, 2023 to February 29, 2024, and from October 10, 2024 to March 15, 2025). Main outcomes and measures: The main outcome of the study was the RSV test result of bronchiolitis cases. RSV whole-genome sequencing was performed using a tiled amplicon approach covering the complete viral genome, as previously described in the POLYRES studies. We estimated the effectiveness of nirsevimab by a multivariable logistic regression model adjusted for potential confounders. We estimated the adjusted risk of immunization failure for each lineage by calculating relative odds ratio to a reference lineage. A range of sensitivity analyses were conducted. Results: We included 3019 infants with bronchiolitis among which 2273 had a positive RSV test (case patients) and 746 had a negative RSV test (control patients). Overall, 373/2273 (16.4%) case patients were immunized by nirsevimab versus 423/746 (56.7%) control patients. The adjusted effectiveness of nirsevimab against hospitalization for bronchiolitis was 88.4% (95% CI, 84.5-91.4) with RSV-B and 79.4% (95% CI, 73.7-83.8) with RSV-A. The risk of immunization failure was 3.2-fold (95% CI 1.8-5.7) higher for lineages derived from A.D.3 than for lineages derived from B.D.4.1. Conclusion and relevance: In this multicentric case-control study, we observed that nirsevimab effectiveness was variable across RSV lineages, with a lower effectiveness against A.D.3 lineages compare to others. Further surveillance is needed to confirm these findings and assess their implication on RSV lineages epidemiology as nirsevimab use expands.

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Prognosis after a new episode of musculoskeletal pain in children and young people, 2005-21: population-based study

Mason, K. J.; Jordan, K. P.; Thomas, M. J.; Bailey, J.; Mughal, F.; Protheroe, J.; Jowett, S.; Saxne Jöud, A.; Snell, K. I.; Dunn, K. M.

2026-10-16 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.10.15.26365290 medRxiv
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Objective: to estimate reconsultation risk and trajectories after a new episode of musculoskeletal pain in children and young people (CYP), and to determine routinely recorded prognostic factors associated with reconsultation. Design: Population based retrospective cohort study. Setting: Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) Aurum, 2005-2021. Participants: CYP aged 8-18 years consulting primary care for a new musculoskeletal pain episode (no musculoskeletal consultation in prior 12-months). Main Outcome Measures: Musculoskeletal pain reconsultation within 12-months, and 3-year musculoskeletal reconsultation trajectories derived using latent class growth analysis. Prognostic factors selected from a literature search and two-year symptom histories (sample prevalence >1%) were examined using regression models (conditional logistic; multinomial). Results: Among 313,830 CYP with >12 months' follow-up, 32% reconsulted for musculoskeletal pain within 12 months. Among 240,384 CYP with >3 years' follow-up, three trajectories were observed: single episode (62%), early reconsultation (18%), and persistent reconsultation (20%). Older age; female gender; hip, knee, multisite and back pain on index; previous headache; previous abdominal pain; and analgesic prescribing were associated with higher reconsultation risk. Asian or Black ethnicity, and residing in more deprived areas, were associated with lower recorded reconsultation. Conclusion: Most CYP had no further recorded consultation, but 38% followed early or persistent reconsultation trajectories. Routinely recorded prognostic factors, particularly index pain side and prior pain/symptom history, may differentiate groups who could benefit from proactive follow-up. Lower recorded reconsultation among Asian and Black individuals, and living in more deprived areas, should not imply lower need and warrants equity-sensitive monitoring of access, health-seeking, and coding.

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Direct and indirect effects of COVID-19 on infant bronchiolitis: a population-wide registry study from Northern Italy

Nazzari, V.; Navarro Gallinad, A.; Ghirardi, L.; Gianbartolomei, C.; Paganoni, A. M.; Bardaji, A.; Zuccolo, L.

2026-09-23 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.09.22.26363663 medRxiv
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BackgroundCOVID-19 pandemic modified trends of infant bronchiolitis, leading cause of emergency room (ER) attendance in infants in high income countries, primarily due to Respiratory Syncytial Virus. Understanding recent pandemic-related epidemiological shifts could inform affordable prevention efforts to improve sustainability and coverage of prophylactic treatments beyond maternal vaccines and infant monoclonal antibodies. MethodsWe estimated incidence rates (IR) of bronchiolitis ER presentations in 0-6month olds in 2012-2023 in a region-wide cohort of almost 1 million births using administrative health data from Lombardy, Italy. To assess potential contributors, we investigated direct and indirect COVID-19-related factors, including disease severity, shape of the epidemic peak, parental health seeking behaviour and vaccine coverage. We estimated COVID-19 maternal vaccination associations using mothers-infants data linkages and multivariable-adjusted logistic regression. FindingsCompared to pre-pandemic levels, IRs doubled in 2021-2023 (from 2 to [&ge;] 4/100 person-time). The surge could not be explained by changes in infant age at ER visit, clinical severity or in the shape of the epidemic peak. Adjusted models showed little support for a role of infant routine or maternal COVID-19 vaccination on bronchiolitis episodes (respectively hazard ratio 1.09, 95%CI: 0.98-1.22 and odds ratio 0.91, 95%CI: 0.76-1.09). InterpretationThe post-pandemic increase in infant bronchiolitis is likely driven by multiple epidemiological changes rather than a single factor. As maternal RSV vaccination and infant RSV monoclonal antibodies are introduced and scale up, identifying these mechanisms will be critical to maximise their public health impact, inform complementary prevention strategies, and improve preparedness for future RSV epidemics.

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Buccal DNA Methylation-Derived EpiScores are Associated with Neonatal Morbidity Burden in Infants born Very Preterm

Patel, P.; Zhu, S.; Sehgal, N.; Camerota, M.; Carter, B.; Check, J.; Helderman, J.; Hofheimer, J.; Litt, J.; McGowan, E.; Neal, C.; Pastyrnak, S.; Smith, L.; O'Shea, M.; Marsit, C.; Lester, B. M.; Everson, T.

2026-09-27 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.09.25.26363955 medRxiv
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Background: Infants <30 weeks gestational age (very preterm (VPT)), are at risk of experiencing multiple serious neonatal morbidities. These morbidities impart serious biological stress, which may be reflected in dysregulated protein expression even after the morbidities have resolved. Recent studies suggest that DNA methylation-based predictors of circulating proteins may reflect the molecular effects of neonatal adversity. The objective of this study is to examine associations between DNA methylation-derived EpiScores, which are externally trained methylation signatures that proxy circulating protein levels, and neonatal morbidity burden in children born VPT. Buccal DNA methylation was obtained at NICU discharge in 537 infants from the NOVI cohort. A total of 111 EpiScores were calculated and tested for association with multimorbidity (0-1 vs. [&ge;] 2 morbidities) using adjusted linear regression models. Cross-tissue analyses in an external paired blood-buccal dataset (n=21) were used to identify EpiScores with moderate-to-strong correlations across tissues. Results: Eighteen EpiScores were nominally associated with multimorbidity (p < 0.05), with Melanoma-derived growth regulatory protein (MIA) with FDR < 0.05 (beta = 0.0023, p = 0.0004). In cross-tissue analyses, 35 EpiScores yielded r > 0.50 (p<0.05), 11 of which showed nominal associations with multimorbidity, including MIA. Overall, the morbidity-associated EpiScores reflected immune, inflammatory, metabolic, and growth-related pathways. Conclusions: Buccal DNA methylation-derived EpiScores capture biological signatures associated with neonatal morbidity burden in very preterm infants.

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Predicting One-Year CPAP Adherence and Use Trajectories Utilizing Baseline and Early Use Data

Hwang, N. H.; Mishra, S.; Westover, M. B.; Thomas, R. J.; Mignot, E.; Katwa, U.; Shi, J. M.; Yan, R.; Becker, K. A.; Hwang, D.; Klimper, M. T.; Jara, J.; Stevens, D. R.; Gratton, M. K. P.; Mazzotti, D. R.; Sun, H.

2026-10-05 respiratory medicine 10.64898/2026.10.01.26363483 medRxiv
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Introduction Maintaining long-term positive airway pressure (CPAP) adherence is a major challenge when treating obstructive sleep apnea (OSA). We evaluated factors associated with one-year CPAP adherence and developed models predicting Month-12 adherence and CPAP-use trajectories. Methods CPAP-naive adults with OSA (apnea-hypopnea index[&ge;]5) at Kaiser Permanente Southern California with 364-day observation period were analyzed (development/internal-validation cohort, n=14,906; temporal holdout, n=1,676). Logistic regression evaluated baseline associations with Month-12 adherence (mean[&ge;]4 hours/night during days 331-360). XGBoost models utilized baseline features (clinical, sleep-study, questionnaire data), early CPAP data (days 1-7), or combined to predict long-term CPAP use. A latent-class model identified trajectories over days 8-364. Predictive models were evaluated in both random and temporal holdouts. Results About one-third (34.6%) of the primary cohort (49.7{+/-}13.8 years, 63.2% male) were adherent during Month-12. Higher AHI and longer self-reported sleep duration favored adherence while greater comorbidity burden, depression, and substance-use disorder were associated with lower adherence. In held-out testing, adherence prediction using baseline features yielded an AUROC of 0.678. Using CPAP-only data, AUROCs were higher from 0.787 with seven days of usage data to 0.816 and 0.854 with 14 and 30 days. Models combining CPAP and baseline features increased Day-7 AUROC to 0.810. We identified four one-year trajectories: Early-Decliners (42.9%), Gradual-Decliners (17.4%), Stable-Moderate (19.0%), Stable-High (20.7%). Models predicting patient trajectory revealed macro-average AUROCs of 0.619, 0.756, and 0.770 for baseline, CPAP-only, and combined models. Conclusion Baseline predictors may identify strategies for adherence support, while early CPAP data substantially improved predictive performance. These models may guide personalized follow-up but should not restrict CPAP access. External and implementation validation are needed.

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Associations Between Early-Life Indoor and Outdoor Air Pollution Exposure and Childhood Asthma

Forsmann, M.; Lovric, M.; Skov, F. R.; Akintande, O.; Stokholm, J.; Bonnelykke, K.; Schoos, A.-M. M.; Rasmussen, M. A.

2026-09-24 respiratory medicine 10.64898/2026.09.23.26363754 medRxiv
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BackgroundEarly-life air pollution exposure has been associated with childhood asthma, but its relative contribution is poorly characterised in cohorts with repeated indoor measurements. Short sampling windows and seasonal bias limit how well any single measurement can represent cumulative exposure. ObjectiveTo evaluate the association between early-life indoor and outdoor pollutant exposure from birth to 18 months and asthma development at ages 7, 12, and 18 years, while testing potential exposure-exposure and gene-environment interactions. MethodsIn the COPSAC2000 birth cohort (n = 411), indoor PM2.5, black carbon, NO2, NOx and VOCs, and modelled outdoor PM2.5, NO2 and NOx, were assessed at 6, 12 and 18 months of age. Indoor metrics were corrected for pump-flow drift and seasonal bias via a Gaussian process with a periodic kernel. Hierarchical Bayesian logistic regression(HBLR) and calibrated random forests (CRF) were evaluated using stratified nested cross-validation for discrimination using AUC-ROC, Calibration using integrated calibration index (ICI), and Brier skill scores. Exposure-exposure and gene-environment interactions were quantified via Shapley interaction indices. ResultsDiscrimination was weak at all endpoints with test AUC-ROC: 0.58-0.67, BSS near zero (0.012 to 0.05) and ICI: 0.043-0.061 for random forest and AUC-ROC 0.53-0.61, BSS equal to zero and ICI: 0.054-0.067 for hierarchical Bayesian logistic regression (HBLR). No pollutant reached a highest density interval excluding OR = 1. The polygenic risk score(PRS) was the only term non-null at all three ages in the adjusted models. While gene-environment interactions were detected, effect sizes were negligible and statistically indistinguishable from zero. SignificanceWhere ambient pollution is low, cumulative early-life exposure adds little to long-term asthma prediction beyond genetic and contextual factors, and an improved exposure correction does not uncover an effect. ImpactRepeated bedroom measurements across infancy are rare, and short sampling windows make them hard to read as cumulative exposure. We corrected measured concentrations for pump-flow drift and for seasonal sampling bias on the pollutants and used two complementary machine learning models to predict interaction and risk. In this low-exposure Danish cohort, genetic risk and residential context dominated, and the measured pollutants added almost nothing to the asthma risk at 7,12 and 18 years. These null results indicate that early cumulative exposures of indoor and outdoor air pollution contribute little to nothing to asthma up to 18 years.

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Adiposity and the Prevalence, Incidence and Distribution of Refractive Errors in Urban Vietnamese Children

Ho, N. T.; Tran, K. P. M.

2026-09-23 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.09.17.26363286 medRxiv
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PurposeTo examine the association between BMI-for-age z-score (BAZ) and BMI status with refractive error prevalence, incidence, subtypes, and quantitative refraction in Vietnamese schoolchildren. MethodsWe retrospectively analyzed body mass index and refractive error data from annual school health checks in three Vietnamese cities, 2022 to 2024. The main analysis set was restricted to children age 6 and older (49,415 examinations, 31,522 children). Refractive error subtypes and quantitative refraction came from a Hanoi autorefractor sub-cohort (13,059 examinations). We used sex-stratified Poisson models with generalized estimating equations, adjusted for age, city, and year, plus linear mixed models for quantitative outcomes. ResultsAny refractive error followed a U shaped curve across BAZ in both sexes, significant in girls (prevalence ratio 1.01 per 1-SD BAZ, p = 0.027) but not boys (p = 0.099). Obesity was associated with higher any refractive error prevalence in girls (adjusted prevalence ratio 1.05, p = 0.017). Astigmatism was associated with BAZ in both sexes (p < 0.001), anisometropia in boys only (p < 0.001), with no association for myopia or hyperopia. Spherical equivalent shifted slightly toward hyperopia, not myopia, with higher BAZ. A supplementary check over 1 to 2 years found no evidence that prior BAZ predicted new refractive error onset (prevalence ratio 1.02, p > 0.6 in both sexes), and the nonlinear pattern did not reappear. ConclusionsAdiposity relates cross-sectionally to refractive error in a nonlinear, sex specific way concentrated in astigmatism and anisometropia rather than myopia, though this did not hold up short term.

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DNA Methylation of Neurodevelopmental, Stress-Response, Reward, and Opioid Pathway Genes: Sex Differences in Infants with Neonatal Opioid Exposure

Aragon Vasquez, A.; Camerota, M.; Coyle, M. G.; Conradt, E. D.; Lester, B. M.

2026-09-29 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.09.28.26364198 medRxiv
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Objective: To investigate sex-specific associations between DNA methylation (DNAm) of neurodevelopmental, stress-response, and dopaminergic pathway genes and need for pharmacological treatment for Neonatal Opioid Withdrawal Syndrome (NOWS) among opioid-exposed newborns. Study Design: Buccal swabs were collected at birth from 181 infants in the multi-site Child and Family Study (CAFS). DNAm was measured via pyrosequencing at CpG sites within promoter regions of neurodevelopmental (BDNF), stress-response (AVP, NR3C1, OXTR, FKBP5, SLC6A4), dopaminergic (DRD2, DRD4), and opioid signaling (OPRM1) genes. Need for pharmacological treatment for NOWS was obtained from medical records. We estimated robust linear regression models to investigate sex-specific associations of DNAm and need for NOWS treatment. Estimated marginal means quantified sex-specific DNAm differences by treatment status. Results: After correction for multiple testing, five CpG sites within DRD4 were significantly associated with need for pharmacological treatment, with four sites showing higher DNAm in treated infants and one showing lower DNAm. Significant sex-specific associations were identified within DRD4 and AVP. Conclusions: Epigenetic variation across multiple biological pathways contributes to variability in NOWS severity among infants with prenatal opioid exposure. The relationship between epigenetic variation and need for NOWS treatment may vary depending on infant sex.

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Association between Prenatal Adversity and Neonatal Outcomes in Infants with Prenatal Opioid Exposure

Ramirez Heil, M.; Donahue, M.; Camerota, M.; Dansereau, L.; Craft, A.; Conradt, E.; Lester, B.

2026-10-11 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.10.08.26365058 medRxiv
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Abstract Objective: Examine whether prenatal adversity is associated with Neonatal Opioid Withdrawal Syndrome (NOWS) severity and the need for pharmacological treatment in infants with prenatal opioid exposure. Study Design: Prospective cohort study of 235 infants from a multi-center study of infants with prenatal opioid exposure. Maternal factors were assessed using the electronic medical record and maternal questionnaires. Latent Class Analysis (LCA) was used to derive mutually exclusive prenatal adversity groups. Results: A 3-class LCA solution provided the best fit to the data and showed 3 distinct groups: one low adversity group (Class 3, 38.7%) and 2 high adversity groups. Infants born to mothers with elevated demographic, medical, polysubstance, and mental health risk factors (Class 1, 31.9%) were more likely to require pharmacological treatment for NOWS (OR=7.70, 95% CI: 3.65-17.14) and had higher NOWS severity, as indexed by longer length of stay ({beta} = 6.08, 95% CI: 4.09-8.07), and higher maximum Finnegan scores ({beta} = 2.62, 95% CI: 1.49-3.76). Infants born to mothers with elevated medical and polysubstance risk factors (Class 2, 29.4%) were also more likely to receive pharmacological treatment for NOWS (OR=3.22, 95% CI: 1.56-6.78) and had higher NOWS severity, as indexed by higher likelihood of receiving adjunctive medication (OR=3.62, 95% CI: 1.11-12.99). Conclusion: Maternal sociodemographic, mental health, substance use, and medical adversity may serve as an early marker of NOWS severity and may aid in the prediction of which neonates will require pharmacological treatment for NOWS. Early identification of infants at high risk for NOWS could lead to earlier treatment and the potential to reduce NOWS severity, length of stay, and associated healthcare costs.